Pacers vs Raptors prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 26
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (13-5) host the Indiana Pacers (2-15) on Wednesday, November 26 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 95 – Raptors 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 6-2 at home and the Pacers are 0-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Raptors and 1-9 for the Pacers (current streaks: Raptors W8, Pacers L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Raptors dominate this matchup. The model projects Raptors 121 – 111 Pacers, a margin of about 9.8 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+2.1 vs -5.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' offense (116.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDTOR
Top performers
Pacers
T.J. McConnellG · #916pts / gameT.J. McConnellG · #96assists
Jarace WalkerF · #59reboundsRaptors
Brandon IngramF · #726pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #56assists
Scottie BarnesF · #410reboundsRecent form
INDTORHead-to-head
TOR lead 4-0 this season.
TOR
Team comparison
| IND | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-15 | Record | 13-5 |
| 113.3 | Points scored / game | 116.6 |
| 119.6 | Points allowed / game | 114.1 |
| -5.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.1 |
| L2 | Current streak | W8 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 0-9 road | Home / road record | 6-2 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.