Raptors vs Pacers prediction NBA · Saturday, November 15
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (1-11) host the Toronto Raptors (7-5) on Saturday, November 15 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 129 – Pacers 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 1-4 at home and the Raptors are 5-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pacers and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Pacers L6, Raptors W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Raptors, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 114 – 117 Raptors, a margin of about 2.5 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-5.1 vs -0.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORIND
Top performers
Raptors
Jakob PoeltlC · #1922pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #57assists
Scottie BarnesF · #411reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4330pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #25assists
Jarace WalkerF · #58reboundsRecent form
TORINDHead-to-head
TOR lead 4-0 this season.
TOR
Team comparison
| TOR | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | Record | 1-11 |
| 115.3 | Points scored / game | 112.9 |
| 115.6 | Points allowed / game | 118.9 |
| -0.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L6 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 5-3 road | Home / road record | 1-4 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.