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Raptors vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 7

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, TSN, NBA League Pass
54% win TORwin CHA 46%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin1.3
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (13-23) host the Toronto Raptors (22-15) on Wednesday, January 7 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 97 – Hornets 96. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 7-10 at home and the Raptors are 10-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hornets and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Hornets W2, Raptors W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hornets 114 – 115 Raptors, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -3.1 / TOR +0.5 per game
-3.6
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-1.3

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Raptors win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

TORCHA
113.6
Points scored / game
113.3
113.0
Points allowed / game
116.9
44.2 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
30.4 %
3-point %
30.6 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
79.0 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
47.4
27.3
Assists / game
20.6
14.3
Steals / game
6.8
5.5
Blocks / game
5.2
14.0
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #928pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #236assists
Collin Murray-BoylesF · #3015rebounds
Hornets
Collin SextonG · #1022pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #17assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1411rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORCHA
22-15Record13-23
113.6Points scored / game113.3
113.0Points allowed / game116.9
+0.5Adjusted margin / game-3.1
W2Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games5-5
10-7 roadHome / road record7-10 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.