Raptors vs Hornets prediction NBA · Saturday, November 29
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (5-14) host the Toronto Raptors (14-5) on Saturday, November 29 at 6:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 111 – Hornets 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 71% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hornets are 4-6 at home and the Raptors are 7-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Hornets and 9-1 for the Raptors (current streaks: Hornets W1, Raptors W9).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Raptors, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hornets 111 – 118 Raptors, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-5.5 vs +2.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' offense (115.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORCHA
Top performers
Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #430pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #510assistsScottie BarnesF · #412reboundsHornets
Miles BridgesF · #2235pts / game
Collin SextonG · #105assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149reboundsRecent form
TORCHAHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
CHA
Team comparison
| TOR | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-5 | Record | 5-14 |
| 115.9 | Points scored / game | 111.6 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 118.1 |
| +2.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.5 |
| W9 | Current streak | W1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 7-3 road | Home / road record | 4-6 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.