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Hornets vs Raptors prediction NBA · Monday, November 17

FinalScotiabank Arena · Sportsnet, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
26% win CHAwin TOR 74%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin7.9
Projected total230
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (8-5) host the Charlotte Hornets (4-9) on Monday, November 17 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 108 – Raptors 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 2-2 at home and the Hornets are 1-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Raptors and 2-8 for the Hornets (current streaks: Raptors W3, Hornets L2).

The analysis Model

The Raptors start with a clear edge. The model projects Raptors 119 – 111 Hornets, a margin of about 7.9 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs -5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Raptors' offense (115.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +0.4 / CHA -5.2 per game
+5.6
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+7.9

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
43%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Hornets win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

CHATOR
111.4
Points scored / game
115.9
117.5
Points allowed / game
115.4
41.7 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
30.6 %
3-point %
30.4 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
85.2 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
45.8
20.6
Assists / game
27.3
6.8
Steals / game
14.3
5.2
Blocks / game
5.5
19.0
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #724pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Ryan KalkbrennerC · #1110rebounds
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #727pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #46assists
Immanuel QuickleyG · #510rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHATOR
4-9Record8-5
111.4Points scored / game115.9
117.5Points allowed / game115.4
-5.2Adjusted margin / game+0.4
L2Current streakW3
2-8Last 10 games7-3
1-5 roadHome / road record2-2 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.