Hornets vs Raptors prediction NBA · Friday, December 5
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (15-8) host the Charlotte Hornets (6-16) on Friday, December 5 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 111 – Raptors 86. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 72% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 8-3 at home and the Hornets are 1-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Raptors and 2-8 for the Hornets (current streaks: Raptors L1, Hornets L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Raptors dominate this matchup. The model projects Raptors 118 – 110 Hornets, a margin of about 7.4 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs -5.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' offense (115.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHATOR
Top performers
Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #721pts / gameKon KnueppelG · #77assists
Miles BridgesF · #229reboundsRaptors
Immanuel QuickleyG · #531pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #45assists
Brandon IngramF · #79reboundsRecent form
CHATORHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
CHA
Team comparison
| CHA | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-16 | Record | 15-8 |
| 111.3 | Points scored / game | 115.4 |
| 117.9 | Points allowed / game | 114.1 |
| -5.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 1-10 road | Home / road record | 8-3 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.