Mavericks vs Kings prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 6
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (8-28) host the Dallas Mavericks (13-23) on Tuesday, January 6 at 11:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 100 – Kings 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 5-12 at home and the Mavericks are 3-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 3-7 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Kings L5, Mavericks W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Kings 114 – 117 Mavericks, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-7.5 vs -2.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALSAC
Top performers
Mavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3220pts / gameCooper FlaggF · #326assists
Anthony DavisF · #2316reboundsKings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1021pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #179assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #429reboundsRecent form
DALSAC
DAL
Team comparison
| DAL | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-23 | Record | 8-28 |
| 113.7 | Points scored / game | 111.6 |
| 117.0 | Points allowed / game | 120.5 |
| -2.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.5 |
| W1 | Current streak | L5 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 3-13 road | Home / road record | 5-12 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.