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Mavericks vs Kings prediction NBA · Saturday, December 27

FinalGolden 1 Center · KFAA-TV, MavsTV, NBC Sports CA, NBA TV
54% win DALwin SAC 46%
FavoriteDAL
Projected margin1.2
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (7-23) host the Dallas Mavericks (12-20) on Saturday, December 27 at 5:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 107 – Kings 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Kings are 4-10 at home and the Mavericks are 3-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 5-5 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Kings L1, Mavericks L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Kings 115 – 117 Mavericks, a margin of about 1.2 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -6.2 / DAL -2.7 per game
-3.5
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
-1.2

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Mavericks win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

DALSAC
113.8
Points scored / game
113.1
117.0
Points allowed / game
120.4
49.0 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
34.6 %
3-point %
30.0 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
76.7 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
44.2
Rebounds / game
41.5
27.6
Assists / game
22.8
9.0
Steals / game
6.8
7.4
Blocks / game
2.5
15.6
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Mavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3223pts / game
Cooper FlaggF · #325assists
Dwight PowellF · #711rebounds
Kings
Russell WestbrookG · #1821pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #189assists
Nique CliffordG · #109rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DAL
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DALSAC
12-20Record7-23
113.8Points scored / game113.1
117.0Points allowed / game120.4
-2.7Adjusted margin / game-6.2
L1Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games2-8
3-11 roadHome / road record4-10 home
39-43 (-1.2)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.