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Hawks vs Raptors prediction NBA · Monday, January 5

FinalScotiabank Arena · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass, TSN
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
17-21 · away
Final score
100-118
Projected: 115-118
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
22-15 · home
39% win ATLwin TOR 61%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin3.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (21-15) host the Atlanta Hawks (17-20) on Monday, January 5 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 100 – Raptors 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 11-8 at home and the Hawks are 11-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Raptors and 2-8 for the Hawks (current streaks: Raptors W1, Hawks L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Raptors, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 118 – 115 Hawks, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (118.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +0.2 / ATL -0.8 per game
+1.0
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+3.3

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Hawks win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLTOR
118.8
Points scored / game
113.5
119.8
Points allowed / game
113.3
46.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
34.8 %
3-point %
30.4 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
72.8 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
45.8
32.2
Assists / game
27.3
10.2
Steals / game
14.3
3.6
Blocks / game
5.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Hawks
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1717pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #17assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #114rebounds
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #719pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #410assists
Brandon IngramF · #79rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLTOR
17-20Record21-15
118.8Points scored / game113.5
119.8Points allowed / game113.3
-0.8Adjusted margin / game+0.2
L1Current streakW1
2-8Last 10 games6-4
11-9 roadHome / road record11-8 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.