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Raptors vs Hawks prediction NBA · Friday, November 7

FinalState Farm Arena · FanDuel SN SE, TSN, NBA League Pass
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
5-4 · away
Final score
109-97
Projected: 115-118
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
4-5 · home
41% win TORwin ATL 59%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin2.8
Projected total234
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (4-4) host the Toronto Raptors (4-4) on Friday, November 7 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 109 – Hawks 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 1-2 at home and the Raptors are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for the Hawks and 4-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Hawks W1, Raptors W3).

The analysis Model

The Hawks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hawks 118 – 115 Raptors, a margin of about 2.8 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL -0.8 / TOR -1.3 per game
+0.5
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hawks
+2.8

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Raptors win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

TORATL
114.7
Points scored / game
117.6
116.3
Points allowed / game
118.5
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
30.4 %
3-point %
34.8 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
79.0 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
41.4
27.3
Assists / game
32.2
14.3
Steals / game
10.2
5.5
Blocks / game
3.6
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #720pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #56assists
Scottie BarnesF · #410rebounds
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #121pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #58assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1711rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORATL
4-4Record4-4
114.7Points scored / game117.6
116.3Points allowed / game118.5
-1.3Adjusted margin / game-0.8
W3Current streakW1
4-4Last 10 games4-4
2-2 roadHome / road record1-2 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.