Raptors vs Hawks prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 22
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks host the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday, October 22 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 138 – Hawks 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 65% chance to win: prediction missed.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Hawks, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hawks 118 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORATL
Top performers
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #925pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #49assists
Brandon IngramF · #79reboundsHawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #122pts / gameJalen JohnsonF · #18assistsJalen JohnsonF · #17reboundsRecent form
TORATLHead-to-head
TOR lead 4-0 this season.
TOR
Team comparison
| TOR | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 110.9 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 115.2 | Points allowed / game | 119.3 |
| -3.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.