Hawks vs Raptors prediction NBA · Saturday, January 3
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (20-15) host the Atlanta Hawks (17-19) on Saturday, January 3 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 117 – Raptors 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 10-8 at home and the Hawks are 11-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Raptors and 3-7 for the Hawks (current streaks: Raptors L1, Hawks W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Raptors, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 118 – 113 Hawks, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hawks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (118.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLTOR
Top performers
Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #731pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #512assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #17reboundsRaptors
Brandon IngramF · #729pts / game
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #548assistsSandro MamukelashviliF · #5412reboundsRecent form
ATLTORHead-to-head
TOR lead 4-0 this season.
TOR
Team comparison
| ATL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-19 | Record | 20-15 |
| 118.8 | Points scored / game | 113.1 |
| 119.5 | Points allowed / game | 113.2 |
| -0.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 11-8 road | Home / road record | 10-8 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.