Trail Blazers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 31
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (28-5) host the Portland Trail Blazers (14-19) on Wednesday, December 31 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 95 – Thunder 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 91% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 16-2 at home and the Trail Blazers are 7-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Thunder and 5-5 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Thunder W2, Trail Blazers W2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 124 – 107 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 16.8 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+11.8 vs -2.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
POROKCTop performers
Trail Blazers
Sidy CissokoG · #9119pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #87assists
Robert Williams IIIC · #358reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #230pts / game
Jalen WilliamsG · #87assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #710reboundsRecent form
POROKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 3-1 this season.
OKC
Team comparison
| POR | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-19 | Record | 28-5 |
| 115.2 | Points scored / game | 121.7 |
| 118.5 | Points allowed / game | 107.8 |
| -2.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +11.8 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 7-10 road | Home / road record | 16-2 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.