Thunder vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Sunday, November 30
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (8-11) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (19-1) on Sunday, November 30 at 6:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 123 – Trail Blazers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 84% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 3-5 at home and the Thunder are 9-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Trail Blazers and 10-0 for the Thunder (current streaks: Trail Blazers L1, Thunder W11).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Trail Blazers 109 – 122 Thunder, a margin of about 12.6 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-2.4 vs +12.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCPORTop performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #226pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #25assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #79reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #831pts / gameDeni AvdijaF · #810assistsDeni AvdijaF · #819reboundsRecent form
OKCPORHead-to-head
OKC lead 3-1 this season.
OKC
Team comparison
| OKC | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-1 | Record | 8-11 |
| 121.5 | Points scored / game | 115.5 |
| 106.8 | Points allowed / game | 118.3 |
| +12.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.4 |
| W11 | Current streak | L1 |
| 10-0 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 9-1 road | Home / road record | 3-5 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.