Trail Blazers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Sunday, November 23
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (16-1) host the Portland Trail Blazers (7-9) on Sunday, November 23 at 7:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 95 – Thunder 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 91% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 7-0 at home and the Trail Blazers are 4-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 3-7 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Thunder W8, Trail Blazers W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 124 – 108 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 16.7 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+12.7 vs -1.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
POROKCTop performers
Trail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #321pts / game
Yang HansenC · #163assists
Donovan ClinganC · #238reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #237pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #27assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5514reboundsRecent form
POROKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 3-1 this season.
OKC
Team comparison
| POR | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | Record | 16-1 |
| 116.7 | Points scored / game | 121.8 |
| 118.8 | Points allowed / game | 106.8 |
| -1.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +12.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | W8 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 4-5 road | Home / road record | 7-0 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.