Heat vs Knicks prediction NBA · Sunday, December 21
At a glance
The New York Knicks (20-8) host the Miami Heat (15-13) on Sunday, December 21 at 6:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Heat 125 – Knicks 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 14-2 at home and the Heat are 5-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Knicks and 3-7 for the Heat (current streaks: Knicks L1, Heat L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Heat have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Knicks 119 – 113 Heat, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.8 vs +1.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIANY
Top performers
Heat
Kel'el WareC · #928pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #28assistsKel'el WareC · #919reboundsKnicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1147pts / gameJalen BrunsonG · #118assists
Josh HartG · #310reboundsRecent form
MIANYHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
NY
Team comparison
| MIA | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-13 | Record | 20-8 |
| 117.2 | Points scored / game | 119.0 |
| 115.1 | Points allowed / game | 112.2 |
| +1.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.8 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 5-9 road | Home / road record | 14-2 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.