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Heat vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, November 14

FinalMadison Square Garden · Prime Video
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
7-6 · away
Final score
132-140
Projected: 113-118
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
8-4 · home
35% win MIAwin NY 65%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin4.9
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks (7-4) host the Miami Heat (7-5) on Friday, November 14 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Heat 132 – Knicks 140. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 7-1 at home and the Heat are 2-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Knicks and 6-4 for the Heat (current streaks: Knicks L1, Heat L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Heat have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Knicks 118 – 113 Heat, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +4.6 / MIA +2.0 per game
+2.6
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+4.9

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Heat win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

MIANY
117.7
Points scored / game
118.0
115.4
Points allowed / game
112.7
45.3 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
31.7 %
3-point %
35.9 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
71.7 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
42.8
Rebounds / game
48.2
27.0
Assists / game
26.8
8.4
Steals / game
7.2
5.4
Blocks / game
4.4
14.2
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Heat
Norman PowellG · #2438pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #211assists
Kel'el WareC · #910rebounds
Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3239pts / game
Josh HartG · #310assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3211rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIA
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MIANY
7-5Record7-4
117.7Points scored / game118.0
115.4Points allowed / game112.7
+2.0Adjusted margin / game+4.6
L1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games6-4
2-4 roadHome / road record7-1 home
37-45 (+0.6)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Miami Heat Injury report Heat

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.