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Knicks vs Heat prediction NBA · Monday, November 17

FinalKaseya Center · FanDuel SN Sun, MSG, NBA League Pass, DAZN (MSG)
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
8-5 · away
Final score
113-115
Projected: 117-116
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
8-6 · home
52% win NYwin MIA 48%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin0.7
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Miami Heat (7-6) host the New York Knicks (8-4) on Monday, November 17 at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 113 – Heat 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 5-1 at home and the Knicks are 0-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Heat and 6-4 for the Knicks (current streaks: Heat L2, Knicks W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Heat 116 – 117 Knicks, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Heat
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIA +1.6 / NY +4.7 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantageHeat at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Heat
-0.7

Scenarios

Heat win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

NYMIA
118.9
Points scored / game
118.2
113.5
Points allowed / game
116.3
42.2 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
35.9 %
3-point %
31.7 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
75.8 %
Free throw %
71.7 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
42.8
26.8
Assists / game
27.0
7.2
Steals / game
8.4
4.4
Blocks / game
5.4
14.8
Turnovers / game
14.2

Top performers

Knicks
Miles McBrideG · #225pts / game
Josh HartG · #39assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3215rebounds
Heat
Norman PowellG · #2419pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #25assists
Kel'el WareC · #914rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
MIA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYMIA
8-4Record7-6
118.9Points scored / game118.2
113.5Points allowed / game116.3
+4.7Adjusted margin / game+1.6
W1Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games5-5
0-3 roadHome / road record5-1 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season37-45 (+0.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Miami Heat Injury report Heat

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.