Knicks vs Heat prediction NBA · Sunday, October 26
At a glance
The Miami Heat (1-1) host the New York Knicks (2-0) on Sunday, October 26 at 6:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 107 – Heat 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for the Heat and 2-0 for the Knicks (current streaks: Heat W1, Knicks W2).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Heat 114 – 113 Knicks, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYMIA
Top performers
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1137pts / gameJalen BrunsonG · #117assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3218reboundsHeat
Norman PowellG · #2429pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #26assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1313reboundsRecent form
NYMIAHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
NY
Team comparison
| NY | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 1-1 |
| 115.3 | Points scored / game | 113.9 |
| 110.4 | Points allowed / game | 111.4 |
| +4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-0 | Last 10 games | 1-1 |
| 0-0 road | Home / road record | 0-0 home |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.