Thunder vs Warriors prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 2
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (11-10) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (20-1) on Tuesday, December 2 at 11:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 124 – Warriors 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 7-2 at home and the Thunder are 10-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Warriors and 10-0 for the Thunder (current streaks: Warriors W1, Thunder W12).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Warriors 110 – 118 Thunder, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.5 vs +12.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCGSTop performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #238pts / game
Jalen WilliamsG · #86assists
Jaylin WilliamsF · #69reboundsWarriors
Brandin PodziemskiG · #217pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #616assists
Draymond GreenF · #239reboundsRecent form
OKCGSHead-to-head
OKC lead 4-0 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| OKC | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-1 | Record | 11-10 |
| 121.6 | Points scored / game | 114.3 |
| 107.0 | Points allowed / game | 112.5 |
| +12.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.5 |
| W12 | Current streak | W1 |
| 10-0 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 10-1 road | Home / road record | 7-2 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.