Warriors vs Thunder prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 11
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (10-1) host the Golden State Warriors (6-5) on Tuesday, November 11 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 102 – Thunder 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 4-0 at home and the Warriors are 1-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 5-5 for the Warriors (current streaks: Thunder W2, Warriors W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 120 – 109 Warriors, a margin of about 11.1 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+11.2 vs +2.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (108.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSOKC
Top performers
Warriors
Jonathan KumingaF · #2413pts / gameJonathan KumingaF · #244assists
Trayce Jackson-DavisF · #326reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #228pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #211assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #711reboundsRecent form
GSOKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 4-0 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| GS | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 10-1 |
| 114.8 | Points scored / game | 121.4 |
| 112.0 | Points allowed / game | 108.2 |
| +2.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +11.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 1-5 road | Home / road record | 4-0 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.