Kings vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Saturday, November 22
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (12-3) host the Sacramento Kings (3-13) on Saturday, November 22 at 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Kings 128 – Nuggets 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 86% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nuggets are 6-1 at home and the Kings are 1-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Nuggets and 1-9 for the Kings (current streaks: Nuggets W2, Kings L8).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Nuggets dominate this matchup. The model projects Nuggets 124 – 110 Kings, a margin of about 13.7 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Nuggets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+6.7 vs -6.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nuggets' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACDEN
Top performers
Kings
Russell WestbrookG · #1821pts / gameRussell WestbrookG · #1811assists
DeMar DeRozanG · #107reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1544pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #279assistsNikola JokicC · #1513reboundsRecent form
SACDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
SAC
Team comparison
| SAC | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-13 | Record | 12-3 |
| 113.0 | Points scored / game | 122.4 |
| 120.5 | Points allowed / game | 114.6 |
| -6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.7 |
| L8 | Current streak | W2 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 1-8 road | Home / road record | 6-1 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.