Nuggets vs Kings prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 11
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (3-7) host the Denver Nuggets (7-2) on Tuesday, November 11 at 11:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 122 – Kings 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 2-3 at home and the Nuggets are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-7 for the Kings and 7-2 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Kings L2, Nuggets W4).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Nuggets dominate this matchup. The model projects Kings 114 – 122 Nuggets, a margin of about 7.5 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-3.1 vs +6.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nuggets' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENSAC
Top performers
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1535pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #278assistsNikola JokicC · #1515reboundsKings
Domantas SabonisF · #1119pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1811assistsDomantas SabonisF · #118reboundsRecent form
DENSACHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
SAC
Team comparison
| DEN | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | Record | 3-7 |
| 122.2 | Points scored / game | 115.5 |
| 114.4 | Points allowed / game | 119.2 |
| +6.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.1 |
| W4 | Current streak | L2 |
| 7-2 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 1-2 road | Home / road record | 2-3 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.