Nuggets vs Kings prediction NBA · Thursday, December 11
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (6-18) host the Denver Nuggets (17-6) on Thursday, December 11 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 136 – Kings 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 3-7 at home and the Nuggets are 11-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Kings and 7-3 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Kings L1, Nuggets W3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Nuggets dominate this matchup. The model projects Kings 113 – 123 Nuggets, a margin of about 9.6 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-5.9 vs +6.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nuggets' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENSAC
Top performers
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1536pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #279assistsNikola JokicC · #1512reboundsKings
Malik MonkG · #018pts / gameMalik MonkG · #05assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #429reboundsRecent form
DENSACHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
SAC
Team comparison
| DEN | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-6 | Record | 6-18 |
| 123.6 | Points scored / game | 112.9 |
| 116.5 | Points allowed / game | 119.8 |
| +6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.9 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 11-2 road | Home / road record | 3-7 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.