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76ers vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 5

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
20% win PHIwin CLE 80%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin10.5
Projected total230
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (4-3) host the Philadelphia 76ers (5-2) on Wednesday, November 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 121 – Cavaliers 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 2-1 at home and the 76ers are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-3 for the Cavaliers and 5-2 for the 76ers (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, 76ers L1).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Cavaliers 120 – 110 76ers, a margin of about 10.5 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.2 vs -1.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +5.2 / PHI -1.4 per game
+6.6
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Back-to-back76ers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+10.5

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
52%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
76ers win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

PHICLE
114.8
Points scored / game
119.1
116.4
Points allowed / game
112.9
42.8 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
32.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
77.5 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
47.0
24.6
Assists / game
26.3
9.8
Steals / game
8.8
5.6
Blocks / game
7.5
12.6
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #027pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #09assists
Andre DrummondC · #013rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4546pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #458assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3110rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHICLE
5-2Record4-3
114.8Points scored / game119.1
116.4Points allowed / game112.9
-1.4Adjusted margin / game+5.2
L1Current streakW1
5-2Last 10 games4-3
3-1 roadHome / road record2-1 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.