76ers vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Monday, March 9
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (39-25) host the Philadelphia 76ers (34-29) on Monday, March 9 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 101 – Cavaliers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 21-12 at home and the 76ers are 17-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Cavaliers and 4-6 for the 76ers (current streaks: Cavaliers L1, 76ers L1).
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 118 – 112 76ers, a margin of about 5.9 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Cavaliers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+4.1 vs -1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHICLE
Top performers
76ers
Quentin GrimesG · #517pts / game
Cameron PaynePG · #204assists
Adem BonaC · #307reboundsCavaliers
James HardenG · #121pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #456assists
Dean WadeF · #4510reboundsRecent form
PHICLEHead-to-head
CLE lead 4-0 this season.
PHI
Team comparison
| PHI | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-29 | Record | 39-25 |
| 114.8 | Points scored / game | 119.3 |
| 116.0 | Points allowed / game | 114.4 |
| -1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 17-13 road | Home / road record | 21-12 home |
| 24-58 (-6.2) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.