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Cavaliers vs 76ers prediction NBA · Friday, January 16

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · ESPN, FanDuel SN OH, NBC Sports Phil
55% win CLEwin PHI 45%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin1.7
Projected total234
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (22-17) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (23-19) on Friday, January 16 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 117 – 76ers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 10-10 at home and the Cavaliers are 9-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the 76ers and 6-4 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: 76ers L1, Cavaliers W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects 76ers 116 – 118 Cavaliers, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.4 / CLE +3.5 per game
-4.0
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
-1.7

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEPHI
120.5
Points scored / game
115.1
116.3
Points allowed / game
115.7
46.8 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
36.7 %
3-point %
32.6 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
79.3 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
42.2
26.3
Assists / game
24.6
8.8
Steals / game
9.8
7.5
Blocks / game
5.6
17.3
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Cavaliers
Jaylon TysonG · #2039pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #4512assists
Donovan MitchellG · #459rebounds
76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2133pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #09assists
Quentin GrimesG · #57rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLEPHI
23-19Record22-17
120.5Points scored / game115.1
116.3Points allowed / game115.7
+3.5Adjusted margin / game-0.4
W1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games6-4
9-9 roadHome / road record10-10 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.