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Trail Blazers vs Clippers prediction NBA · Sunday, October 26

FinalIntuit Dome · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SoCal
28% win PORwin LAC 72%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin7.3
Projected total225
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (1-1) host the Portland Trail Blazers (1-1) on Sunday, October 26 at 9:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 107 – Clippers 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 1-0 at home. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for the Clippers and 1-1 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Clippers W1, Trail Blazers W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 116 – 109 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 7.3 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.8 vs -1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +3.8 / POR -1.2 per game
+5.0
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+7.3

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
41%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

PORLAC
113.1
Points scored / game
113.7
114.5
Points allowed / game
109.3
51.1 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
38.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
70.8 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
40.8
30.7
Assists / game
25.0
8.3
Steals / game
12.5
2.7
Blocks / game
4.5
13.3
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #823pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #57assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2310rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #230pts / game
James HardenG · #113assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORLAC
1-1Record1-1
113.1Points scored / game113.7
114.5Points allowed / game109.3
-1.2Adjusted margin / game+3.8
W1Current streakW1
1-1Last 10 games1-1
0-0 roadHome / road record1-0 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.