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Clippers vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Friday, December 26

FinalModa Center · Prime Video
47% win LACwin POR 53%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin1.0
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (12-18) host the LA Clippers (8-21) on Friday, December 26 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 119 – Trail Blazers 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Trail Blazers are 5-8 at home and the Clippers are 3-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Trail Blazers and 3-7 for the Clippers (current streaks: Trail Blazers L2, Clippers W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Trail Blazers 115 – 114 Clippers, a margin of about 1.0 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (115.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.8 / LAC -1.5 per game
-1.3
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+1.0

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Clippers win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

LACPOR
111.7
Points scored / game
115.3
113.5
Points allowed / game
118.6
45.9 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
39.0 %
3-point %
38.9 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
78.6 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
46.3
25.0
Assists / game
30.7
12.5
Steals / game
8.3
4.5
Blocks / game
2.7
23.0
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Clippers
James HardenG · #134pts / game
James HardenG · #16assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #28rebounds
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #829pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #89assists
Robert Williams IIIC · #3512rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACPOR
8-21Record12-18
111.7Points scored / game115.3
113.5Points allowed / game118.6
-1.5Adjusted margin / game-2.8
W2Current streakL2
3-7Last 10 games4-6
3-13 roadHome / road record5-8 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.