Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Trail Blazers vs Clippers prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 31

FinalIntuit Dome · NBC, Peacock, KUNP 16, FanDuel SN SoCal
35% win PORwin LAC 65%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin4.9
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (39-36) host the Portland Trail Blazers (38-38) on Tuesday, March 31 at 11:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 114 – Clippers 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 21-15 at home and the Trail Blazers are 17-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Clippers and 7-3 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Clippers W5, Trail Blazers W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 117 – 112 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +1.6 / POR -0.9 per game
+2.6
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+4.9

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

PORLAC
114.7
Points scored / game
113.8
115.8
Points allowed / game
111.9
51.1 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
38.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
70.8 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
40.8
30.7
Assists / game
25.0
8.3
Steals / game
12.5
2.7
Blocks / game
4.5
13.3
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #530pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #88assists
Deni AvdijaF · #811rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #223pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #104assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #28rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORLAC
38-38Record39-36
114.7Points scored / game113.8
115.8Points allowed / game111.9
-0.9Adjusted margin / game+1.6
W1Current streakW5
7-3Last 10 games6-4
17-21 roadHome / road record21-15 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.