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Celtics vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, October 24

FinalMadison Square Garden · Prime Video
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
0-2 · away
Final score
95-105
Projected: 113-112
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
2-0 · home
53% win BOSwin NY 47%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin1.0
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New York Knicks (1-0) host the Boston Celtics (0-1) on Friday, October 24 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 95 – Knicks 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 1-0 at home. Since the start of the season: 1-0 for the Knicks and 0-1 for the Celtics (current streaks: Knicks W1, Celtics L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Knicks 112 – 113 Celtics, a margin of about 1.0 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.7 / BOS +7.1 per game
-3.3
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
-1.0

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Celtics win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSNY
116.2
Points scored / game
116.0
107.9
Points allowed / game
111.6
46.5 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
38.6 %
3-point %
35.9 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
76.0 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
48.2
27.8
Assists / game
26.8
9.0
Steals / game
7.2
3.8
Blocks / game
4.4
15.5
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #723pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #116assists
Neemias QuetaC · #887rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1131pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #115assists
Josh HartG · #314rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSNY
0-1Record1-0
116.2Points scored / game116.0
107.9Points allowed / game111.6
+7.1Adjusted margin / game+3.7
L1Current streakW1
0-1Last 10 games1-0
0-0 roadHome / road record1-0 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.