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Knicks vs Celtics prediction NBA · Sunday, February 8

FinalTD Garden · ABC
36% win NYwin BOS 64%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin4.4
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (34-18) host the New York Knicks (34-19) on Sunday, February 8 at 12:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 111 – Celtics 89. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 17-8 at home and the Knicks are 12-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 8-2 for the Knicks (current streaks: Celtics W5, Knicks L1).

The analysis Model

The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Celtics 116 – 111 Knicks, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.4 / NY +4.3 per game
+2.1
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+4.4

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Knicks win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

NYBOS
117.3
Points scored / game
115.7
112.2
Points allowed / game
108.1
42.2 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
35.9 %
3-point %
38.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
75.8 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
44.3
26.8
Assists / game
27.8
7.2
Steals / game
9.0
4.4
Blocks / game
3.8
14.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1131pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #118assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3210rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #726pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #117assists
Baylor ScheiermanG · #5513rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYBOS
34-19Record34-18
117.3Points scored / game115.7
112.2Points allowed / game108.1
+4.3Adjusted margin / game+6.4
L1Current streakW5
8-2Last 10 games8-2
12-13 roadHome / road record17-8 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.