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Celtics vs Knicks prediction NBA · Thursday, April 9

FinalMadison Square Garden · Prime Video, DAZN (MSG)
47% win BOSwin NY 53%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin0.9
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New York Knicks (52-28) host the Boston Celtics (54-25) on Thursday, April 9 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 106 – Knicks 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 29-9 at home and the Celtics are 26-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 8-2 for the Celtics (current streaks: Knicks W3, Celtics W4).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Knicks 113 – 112 Celtics, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Celtics need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.3 / BOS +6.7 per game
-1.4
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+0.9

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Celtics win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSNY
114.8
Points scored / game
116.8
107.0
Points allowed / game
110.6
46.5 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
38.6 %
3-point %
35.9 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
76.0 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
48.2
27.8
Assists / game
26.8
9.0
Steals / game
7.2
3.8
Blocks / game
4.4
15.5
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Celtics
Jayson TatumF · #024pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #08assists
Jayson TatumF · #013rebounds
Knicks
Josh HartG · #326pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #1110assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3212rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSNY
54-25Record52-28
114.8Points scored / game116.8
107.0Points allowed / game110.6
+6.7Adjusted margin / game+5.3
W4Current streakW3
8-2Last 10 games7-3
26-14 roadHome / road record29-9 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.