Mavericks vs Lakers prediction NBA · Friday, November 28
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers (13-4) host the Dallas Mavericks (5-14) on Friday, November 28 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 119 – Lakers 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 5-2 at home and the Mavericks are 1-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Lakers and 3-7 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Lakers W5, Mavericks L2).
The analysis Model
The Lakers start with a clear edge. The model projects Lakers 118 – 110 Mavericks, a margin of about 7.9 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+2.2 vs -3.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' offense (116.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALLAL
Top performers
Mavericks
P.J. WashingtonF · #2522pts / game
Cooper FlaggF · #3211assistsP.J. WashingtonF · #259reboundsLakers
Austin ReavesG · #1538pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7711assistsAustin ReavesG · #158reboundsRecent form
DALLALHead-to-head
LAL lead 3-1 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| DAL | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-14 | Record | 13-4 |
| 111.3 | Points scored / game | 116.3 |
| 115.4 | Points allowed / game | 113.7 |
| -3.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | W5 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 1-5 road | Home / road record | 5-2 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 50-32 (+1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.