Timberwolves vs Thunder prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 26
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (17-1) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-7) on Wednesday, November 26 at 7:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 105 – Thunder 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 8-0 at home and the Timberwolves are 5-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Thunder W9, Timberwolves L2).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 120 – 109 Timberwolves, a margin of about 10.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+13.0 vs +4.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINOKCTop performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #531pts / gameAnthony EdwardsG · #55assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #240pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #26assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #79reboundsRecent form
MINOKCHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
MIN
Team comparison
| MIN | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | Record | 17-1 |
| 117.4 | Points scored / game | 121.8 |
| 112.2 | Points allowed / game | 106.5 |
| +4.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +13.0 |
| L2 | Current streak | W9 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 5-4 road | Home / road record | 8-0 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.