Spurs vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 22
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks host the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday, October 22 at 9:47 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 125 – Mavericks 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 61% chance to win: prediction missed.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Mavericks, but the Spurs have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Mavericks 117 – 113 Spurs, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SADAL
Top performers
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #140pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #56assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #115reboundsMavericks
Anthony DavisF · #2322pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #95assistsAnthony DavisF · #2313reboundsRecent form
SADALHead-to-head
SA lead 4-0 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| SA | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 113.9 | Points scored / game | 114.2 |
| 116.7 | Points allowed / game | 115.4 |
| -2.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.