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Nuggets vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 14

FinalIntuit Dome · NBA TV, KTLA
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
2-2 · away
Final score
110-122
Projected: 117-116
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
2-1 · home
54% win DENwin LAC 46%
FavoriteDEN
Projected margin1.1
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers host the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday, October 14 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 110 – Clippers 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 54% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Clippers 116 – 117 Nuggets, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Nuggets' offense (122.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +1.0 / DEN +4.4 per game
-3.4
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
-1.1

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Nuggets win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

DENLAC
122.1
Points scored / game
113.8
116.9
Points allowed / game
112.6
45.8 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
32.8 %
3-point %
39.0 %
34.3
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
79.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.5
Rebounds / game
40.8
26.0
Assists / game
25.0
10.0
Steals / game
12.5
4.8
Blocks / game
4.5
15.3
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Nuggets
Trevon BrazileF · #722pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #157assists
Aaron GordonF · #326rebounds
Clippers
Rui HachimuraF · #2816pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #107assists
Rui HachimuraF · #285rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DEN
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DENLAC
2-2Record2-1
122.1Points scored / game113.8
116.9Points allowed / game112.6
+4.4Adjusted margin / game+1.0
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
54-28 (+5.2)Last season42-40 (+1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Denver Nuggets Injury report Nuggets

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.