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Warriors vs Clippers prediction NBA · Sunday, October 4

FinalStan Sheriff Center
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
0-1 · away
Final score
101-104
Projected: 112-116
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
1-0 · home
38% win GSwin LAC 62%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin3.7
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers host the Golden State Warriors on Sunday, October 4 at 7:00 PM ET at Stan Sheriff Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 101 – Clippers 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 62% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

The Clippers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Clippers 116 – 112 Warriors, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +1.0 / GS -0.5 per game
+1.4
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+3.7

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Warriors win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

GSLAC
114.6
Points scored / game
113.8
115.2
Points allowed / game
112.6
45.0 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
36.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
82.2 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
40.8
25.6
Assists / game
25.0
9.6
Steals / game
12.5
3.8
Blocks / game
4.5
16.8
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Warriors
Charles BasseyC · #2812pts / game
Brandon WilliamsG · #123assists
Yaxel LendeborgF · #19rebounds
Clippers
Rui HachimuraF · #2821pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #106assists
Cam ChristieG · #248rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

GSLAC
0-1Record1-0
114.6Points scored / game113.8
115.2Points allowed / game112.6
-0.5Adjusted margin / game+1.0
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
37-45 (-0.6)Last season42-40 (+1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.