Clippers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Sunday, November 1
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (2-3) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Sunday, November 1 at 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Warriors a 58% chance to win and projects a 111-114 score (Clippers – Warriors), about 225 total points. This season, the Warriors are 0-1 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Warriors and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Warriors W2, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors)…. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Clippers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Warriors 114 – 111 Clippers, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors will be without Kristaps Porzingis or Moses Moody (and 1 other). The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (115.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACGS
Players to watch
Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsWarriors
Stephen CurryG · #3028.8pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236.8assists
Yaxel LendeborgF · #19.2reboundsRecent form
LAC
122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87GS127-105L
111-108L
131-122W134-114W
119-114Head-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
LAC
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| LAC | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 2-3 |
| 112.0 | Points scored / game | 115.5 |
| 111.5 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| +0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.8 |
| L3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 1-3 | Last 10 games | 2-3 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 42-40 (+1.1) | Last season | 37-45 (-0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.