Warriors vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 3
At a glance
The LA Clippers (1-3) host the Golden State Warriors (2-3) on Wednesday, February 3 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Clippers a 51% chance to win and projects a 111-112 score (Warriors – Clippers), about 223 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Warriors are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 2-3 for the Warriors (current streaks: Clippers L3, Warriors W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Clippers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors), Moses Moody (Warriors), Jimmy Butler III (Warriors), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers) and Brandon Ingram (Clippers)…. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Clippers 112 – 111 Warriors, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Warriors will be without Kristaps Porzingis or Moses Moody (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (115.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSLAC
Players to watch
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3028.8pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236.8assists
Yaxel LendeborgF · #19.2reboundsClippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsRecent form
GS
127-105L
111-108L
131-122W
134-114W
119-114LAC122-110W
121-96L125-117L
108-101L103-87Head-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
LAC
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| GS | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 1-3 |
| 115.5 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 116.4 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| -0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| W2 | Current streak | L3 |
| 2-3 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 37-45 (-0.6) | Last season | 42-40 (+1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.