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Hornets vs 76ers prediction NBA · Sunday, April 11

Sun, Apr 11 · 6:00 PM ETXfinity Mobile Arena · DAZN CHA

Charlotte Hornets

3-2 · away

Projected score

110-112

Philadelphia 76ers

4-1 · home

44% win CHAwin PHI 56%

FavoritePHI

Projected margin1.9

Projected total222

ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) host the Charlotte Hornets (3-2) on Sunday, April 11 at 6:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the 76ers a 56% chance to win and projects a 110-112 score (Hornets – 76ers), about 222 total points. This season, the 76ers are 2-1 at home and the Hornets are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the 76ers and 3-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: 76ers W1, Hornets L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets), Kylan Boswell (Hornets), Jabari Walker (76ers) and Tacko Fall (76ers)…. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects 76ers 112 – 110 Hornets, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others).

The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers

Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI +0.7 / CHA +1.1 per game

-0.4

Home-court advantage76ers at home

+2.3

InjuriesPHI: 4 out, 1 questionable · CHA: 4 out, 1 questionable

0.0

Expected marginfor 76ers

+1.9

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+

26%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

31%

Hornets win by 10+

17%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAPHI

111.6

Points scored / game

114.4

110.3

Points allowed / game

113.5

41.7 %

Field goal %

42.8 %

30.6 %

3-point %

32.6 %

43.2

3-pointers attempted / game

35.0

85.2 %

Free throw %

77.5 %

47.4

Rebounds / game

42.2

20.6

Assists / game

24.6

6.8

Steals / game

9.8

5.2

Blocks / game

5.6

19.0

Turnovers / game

12.6

Players to watch

Hornets

Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game

Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists

Moussa DiabateF · #149.4rebounds

76ers

Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game

LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists

Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

CHA

110-103L

128-81W

115-110W

110-103L

97-89

PHI

106-100W

114-106W

127-116L

106-93W

114-109

Head-to-head

4 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

CHA 44% · PHI 56%

ESPN BPI

CHA 29% · PHI 71%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

CHA		PHI
3-2	Record	4-1
111.6	Points scored / game	114.4
110.3	Points allowed / game	113.5
+1.1	Adjusted margin / game	+0.7
L1	Current streak	W1
3-2	Last 10 games	4-1
1-1 road	Home / road record	2-1 home
44-38 (+4.8)	Last season	45-37 (-0.2)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Hornets

Kon Knueppel GOut

Coby White GOut

Grant Williams FOut

Kylan Boswell GOut

Dennis Schroder GDay-To-Day

Injury report 76ers

Jabari Walker FOut

Tacko Fall COut

Dominick Barlow FOut

Ariel Hukporti COut

Jaylen Brown GDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.