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76ers vs Hornets prediction NBA · Monday, December 21

Mon, Dec 21 · 7:00 PM ETSpectrum Center
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
4-1 · away
Projected score
110-112
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
3-2 · home
43% win PHIwin CHA 57%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin2.1
Projected total222
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (3-2) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Monday, December 21 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hornets a 57% chance to win and projects a 110-112 score (76ers – Hornets), about 222 total points. This season, the Hornets are 2-1 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Hornets and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Hornets L1, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers), Ariel Hukporti (76ers), Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets) and Grant Williams (Hornets)…. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hornets 112 – 110 76ers, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). The 76ers will be without Tacko Fall or Dominick Barlow (and 1 other).

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA +1.1 / PHI +0.7 per game
+0.4
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
InjuriesCHA: 4 out, 0 questionable · PHI: 3 out, 1 questionable
-0.5
Expected marginfor Hornets
+2.1

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
76ers win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

PHICHA
114.4
Points scored / game
111.6
113.5
Points allowed / game
110.3
42.8 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
32.6 %
3-point %
30.6 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
77.5 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
47.4
24.6
Assists / game
20.6
9.8
Steals / game
6.8
5.6
Blocks / game
5.2
12.6
Turnovers / game
19.0

Players to watch

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
WNY106-100WCLE114-106WMIL127-116LDET106-93WIND114-109
CHA
WBKN110-103LATL128-81WMIA115-110WWSH110-103LDET97-89

Head-to-head

4 meetings scheduled this season.

Oct 31PHIupcomingCHADec 21PHIthis gameCHAMar 3CHAupcomingPHIApr 11CHAupcomingPHI

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
PHI 43% · CHA 57%
ESPN BPI
PHI 65% · CHA 36%

⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.

Team comparison

PHICHA
4-1Record3-2
114.4Points scored / game111.6
113.5Points allowed / game110.3
+0.7Adjusted margin / game+1.1
W1Current streakL1
4-1Last 10 games3-2
2-0 roadHome / road record2-1 home
45-37 (-0.2)Last season44-38 (+4.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

Tacko Fall COut
Dominick Barlow FOut
Ariel Hukporti COut
Jabari Walker FDay-To-Day

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

Kon Knueppel GOut
Coby White GOut
Grant Williams FOut
Kylan Boswell GOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.