76ers vs Hornets prediction NBA · Saturday, October 31
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (3-2) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Saturday, October 31 at 6:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hornets a 57% chance to win and projects a 109-111 score (76ers – Hornets), about 221 total points. This season, the Hornets are 2-1 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Hornets and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Hornets L1, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Hornets and the 76ers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers), Ariel Hukporti (76ers), Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets) and Grant Williams (Hornets)…. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hornets 111 – 109 76ers, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 221 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets and the 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). The 76ers will be without Tacko Fall or Dominick Barlow (and 1 other).
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHICHA
Players to watch
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0reboundsHornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4reboundsRecent form
PHI
106-100W
114-106W
127-116L
106-93W
114-109CHA
110-103L
128-81W
115-110W
110-103L97-89Head-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
PHI
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| PHI | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 3-2 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 111.6 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 110.3 |
| +0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 45-37 (-0.2) | Last season | 44-38 (+4.8) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.