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Nets vs Hornets prediction NBA · Friday, April 9

Fri, Apr 9 · 7:00 PM ETSpectrum Center · DAZN (YES), DAZN CHA

Brooklyn Nets

0-4 · away

Projected score

106-116

Charlotte Hornets

3-2 · home

21% win BKNwin CHA 79%

FavoriteCHA

Projected margin10.0

Projected total222

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (3-2) host the Brooklyn Nets (0-4) on Friday, April 9 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hornets a 79% chance to win and projects a 106-116 score (Nets – Hornets), about 222 total points. This season, the Hornets are 2-1 at home and the Nets are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Hornets and 0-4 for the Nets (current streaks: Hornets L1, Nets L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 23% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Egor Demin (Nets), Tyler Bilodeau (Nets), Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets) and Kylan Boswell (Hornets). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The Hornets start with a clear edge. The model projects Hornets 116 – 106 Nets, a margin of about 10.0 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). The Nets will be without Egor Demin or Tyler Bilodeau. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs -8.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Hornets' offense (111.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets

Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA +1.1 / BKN -8.4 per game

+9.5

Home-court advantageHornets at home

+2.3

InjuriesCHA: 4 out, 0 questionable · BKN: 2 out, 0 questionable

-1.8

Expected marginfor Hornets

+10.0

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+

50%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

23%

Nets win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

BKNCHA

108.0

Points scored / game

111.6

117.9

Points allowed / game

110.3

42.9 %

Field goal %

41.7 %

36.7 %

3-point %

30.6 %

42.3

3-pointers attempted / game

43.2

76.6 %

Free throw %

85.2 %

43.5

Rebounds / game

47.4

24.0

Assists / game

20.6

10.0

Steals / game

6.8

4.0

Blocks / game

5.2

17.5

Turnovers / game

19.0

Players to watch

Nets

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722.8pts / game

Julius RandleF · #305.8assists

Julius RandleF · #307.5rebounds

Hornets

Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game

Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists

Moussa DiabateF · #149.4rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

BKN

L144-128L110-103L125-121L136-109L125-124 OT

CHA

110-103L

128-81W

115-110W

110-103L

97-89

Head-to-head

CHA lead 1-0 this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

BKN 21% · CHA 79%

ESPN BPI

BKN 31% · CHA 69%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

BKN		CHA
0-4	Record	3-2
108.0	Points scored / game	111.6
117.9	Points allowed / game	110.3
-8.4	Adjusted margin / game	+1.1
L4	Current streak	L1
0-4	Last 10 games	3-2
0-2 road	Home / road record	2-1 home
20-62 (-10.0)	Last season	44-38 (+4.8)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Nets

Egor Demin GOut

Tyler Bilodeau FOut

Injury report Hornets

Kon Knueppel GOut

Coby White GOut

Grant Williams FOut

Kylan Boswell GOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.