Hornets vs Nets prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 21
FinalBarclays Center · NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)
79% win CHAwin BKN 21%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin10.3
Projected total225
ConfidenceMedium
At a glance
The Brooklyn Nets host the Charlotte Hornets on Wednesday, October 21 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 110 – Nets 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 79% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
The Hornets start with a clear edge. The model projects Nets 107 – 117 Hornets, a margin of about 10.3 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-8.5 vs +4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hornets' offense (116.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -8.5 / CHA +4.1 per game
-12.6
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-10.3
Scenarios
Nets win by 10+
5%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Hornets win by 10+
51%
Stat comparison Current season
CHABKN
116.0105.9
111.2115.9
41.7 %42.9 %
30.6 %36.7 %
43.242.3
85.2 %76.6 %
47.443.5
20.624.0
6.810.0
5.24.0
19.017.5
Top performers
Hornets
Grayson AllenG · #821pts / game
Naz ReidC · #07assistsNaz ReidC · #011reboundsNets
Julius RandleF · #3033pts / gameJulius RandleF · #307assistsJulius RandleF · #308reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHANo games played yet.
BKNNo games played yet.
Head-to-head
CHA lead 1-0 this season.
CHA
Team comparison
| CHA | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 116.0 | Points scored / game | 105.9 |
| 111.2 | Points allowed / game | 115.9 |
| +4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -8.5 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 44-38 (+4.8) | Last season | 20-62 (-10.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hornets
No injuries reported.
Injury report Nets
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.