76ers vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Monday, March 1
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (3-1) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Monday, March 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Cavaliers a 71% chance to win and projects a 112-119 score (76ers – Cavaliers), about 230 total points. This season, the Cavaliers are 3-0 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-1 for the Cavaliers and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Cavaliers W3, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 27% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers) and Ariel Hukporti (76ers). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 119 – 112 76ers, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers will be without Tacko Fall or Dominick Barlow (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHICLE
Players to watch
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0reboundsCavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4524.8pts / game
James HardenG · #16.8assists
Evan MobleyC · #410.0reboundsRecent form
PHI
106-100W
114-106W
127-116L
106-93W
114-109CLE
132-116L
114-106W
125-121W
127-125 OTW
121-111Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| PHI | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 3-1 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 119.6 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 116.0 |
| +0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 3-1 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 45-37 (-0.2) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.