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Cavaliers vs 76ers prediction NBA · Thursday, October 22

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · ESPN
53% win CLEwin PHI 47%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin0.9
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (1-0) host the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday, October 22 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 106 – 76ers 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. Since the start of the season: 1-0 for the 76ers (current streaks: 76ers W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects 76ers 116 – 117 Cavaliers, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI +0.2 / CLE +3.5 per game
-3.2
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
-0.9

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEPHI
119.5
Points scored / game
115.1
115.4
Points allowed / game
114.8
46.8 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
36.7 %
3-point %
32.6 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
79.3 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
42.2
26.3
Assists / game
24.6
8.8
Steals / game
9.8
7.5
Blocks / game
5.6
17.3
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4532pts / game
James HardenG · #15assists
Donovan MitchellG · #4510rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #032pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #06assists
LeBron JamesF · #2310rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLEPHI
0-1Record1-0
119.5Points scored / game115.1
115.4Points allowed / game114.8
+3.5Adjusted margin / game+0.2
–Current streakW1
–Last 10 games1-0
–Home / road record0-0 home
52-30 (+4.1)Last season45-37 (-0.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.