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76ers vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Friday, November 6

Fri, Nov 6 · 7:30 PM ETRocket Arena · Prime Video
27% win PHIwin CLE 73%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin7.6
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (3-1) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Friday, November 6 at 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Cavaliers a 73% chance to win and projects a 111-119 score (76ers – Cavaliers), about 230 total points. This season, the Cavaliers are 3-0 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-1 for the Cavaliers and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Cavaliers W3, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 26% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers), Ariel Hukporti (76ers) and Meleek Thomas (Cavaliers). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Cavaliers 119 – 111 76ers, a margin of about 7.6 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Cavaliers will be without Meleek Thomas. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.0 / PHI +0.7 per game
+2.3
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
InjuriesCLE: 1 out, 0 questionable · PHI: 4 out, 1 questionable
+3.1
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+7.6

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
43%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
76ers win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

PHICLE
114.4
Points scored / game
119.6
113.5
Points allowed / game
116.0
42.8 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
32.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
77.5 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
47.0
24.6
Assists / game
26.3
9.8
Steals / game
8.8
5.6
Blocks / game
7.5
12.6
Turnovers / game
17.3

Players to watch

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4524.8pts / game
James HardenG · #16.8assists
Evan MobleyC · #410.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
WNY106-100WCLE114-106WMIL127-116LDET106-93WIND114-109
CLE
LORL132-116LPHI114-106WBKN125-121WMIN127-125 OTWWSH121-111

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
PHI 27% · CLE 73%
ESPN BPI
PHI 47% · CLE 53%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

PHICLE
4-1Record3-1
114.4Points scored / game119.6
113.5Points allowed / game116.0
+0.7Adjusted margin / game+3.0
W1Current streakW3
4-1Last 10 games3-1
2-0 roadHome / road record3-0 home
45-37 (-0.2)Last season52-30 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

Jabari Walker FOut
Tacko Fall COut
Dominick Barlow FOut
Ariel Hukporti COut
Jaylen Brown GDay-To-Day

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

Meleek Thomas GOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.