Clippers vs Lakers prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 10
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers (4-1) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Wednesday, February 10 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Lakers a 76% chance to win and projects a 107-116 score (Clippers – Lakers), about 224 total points. This season, the Lakers are 2-1 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the Lakers and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Lakers W1, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 24% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Clippers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Cameron Carr (Lakers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Lakers start with a clear edge. The model projects Lakers 116 – 107 Clippers, a margin of about 9.0 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Lakers will be without Cameron Carr or Adou Thiero. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACLAL
Players to watch
Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsLakers
Luka DoncicG · #7736.0pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #778.2assists
Walker KesslerC · #148.2reboundsRecent form
LAC
122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87LAL
127-105W
125-117W
132-123L
136-129W103-87Head-to-head
LAL lead 2-0 this season.
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| LAC | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 4-1 |
| 112.0 | Points scored / game | 118.4 |
| 111.5 | Points allowed / game | 114.3 |
| +0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.5 |
| L3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 1-3 | Last 10 games | 4-1 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 42-40 (+1.1) | Last season | 53-29 (+1.8) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.