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Lakers vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 28

FinalIntuit Dome · NBA League Pass, Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, KTLA, ClipperVision
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
4-1 · away
Final score
103-87
Projected: 113-116
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
1-3 · home
42% win LALwin LAC 58%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin2.4
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (1-2) host the Los Angeles Lakers (3-1) on Wednesday, October 28 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 103 – Clippers 87. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 1-0 at home and the Lakers are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-2 for the Clippers and 3-1 for the Lakers (current streaks: Clippers L2, Lakers L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Clippers 116 – 113 Lakers, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' offense (119.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +1.3 / LAL +2.8 per game
-1.5
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backLakers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Clippers
+2.4

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

LALLAC
119.3
Points scored / game
113.6
116.0
Points allowed / game
112.0
52.9 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
39.2 %
3-point %
39.0 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
79.1 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
40.8
24.0
Assists / game
25.0
10.8
Steals / game
12.5
5.8
Blocks / game
4.5
16.6
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Lakers
Quentin GrimesG · #523pts / game
Quentin GrimesG · #55assists
Jake LaRaviaF · #1210rebounds
Clippers
Keaton WaglerG · #121pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #105assists
Baba MillerF · #187rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAL lead 2-0 this season.

Oct 23LAC117 - 125LALOct 28LAL103 - 87LACJan 11LALupcomingLACFeb 10LACupcomingLAL

Team comparison

LALLAC
3-1Record1-2
119.3Points scored / game113.6
116.0Points allowed / game112.0
+2.8Adjusted margin / game+1.3
L1Current streakL2
3-1Last 10 games1-2
1-0 roadHome / road record1-0 home
53-29 (+1.8)Last season42-40 (+1.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.